Thursday, February 13, 2014

Volcanic Activity Mt. Sinabung Advisory Nr. 2014/183


HAZARD INFORMATION
ASHTAM : Volcanic Activity Mt. Sinabung - Medan, Indonesia


IDD41290
VA ADVISORY
DTG:  20140213/0822Z
VAAC:  Darwin 

VOLCANO:  Sinabung  261080
PSN:  N0310 E09823
AREA:  Indonesia
SUMMIT ELEV:  2460M

ADVISORY NR:  2014/183
INFO SOURCE:  MTSAT-2, WEBCAM, WIII, MODIS
AVIATION COLOUR CODE:  RED
ERUPTION DETAILS:  PLUME LAST OBS AT 12/0732Z EXTENDING 30NM TO
THE E TO FL120.

OBS VA DTG:  13/0830Z
OBS VA CLD:  
SFC/FL120 N0315 E09815 - N0315 E09855 - N0250 E09855 -
N0305 E09815 - N0315 E09815 MOV SE 15KT

FCST VA CLD +6HR:  13/1430Z
SFC/FL120 N0305 E09815 - N0315 E09815 - N0315 E09855 -
N0250 E09855 - N0305 E09815 
FCST VA CLD +12HR:  13/2030Z
SFC/FL120 N0305 E09815 - N0315 E09815 - N0315 E09855 -
N0250 E09855 - N0305 E09815 
FCST VA CLD +18HR:  14/0230Z
SFC/FL120 N0305 E09815 - N0315 E09815 - N0315 E09855 -
N0250 E09855 - N0305 E09815 

RMK:  ASH NOT CURRENTLY IDENTIFIABLE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, BUT
STILL EXPECTED IN AREA. ASH MOVEMENT DERIVED FROM MODEL DATA.  
NXT ADVISORY:  NO LATER THAN 20140213/1430Z
 
 


RISK ANALYZE
Charts plotting :




MITIGATION
Route analyze result :
1. R01 CGK-KNO VV     : not affected
2. R01 CGK-BTJ VV      : affected, can be used at or above FL140
3. R01 KNO-BTJ VV      : not affected
4. R02 CGK-KNO VV     : not affected
5. R02 CGK-BTJ VV      : not affected
6. C02 CGK-KNO VV     : not affected


Please check the latest information at BoM-Darwin-Volcanic Ash Advisory Center before pre-flight cockpit crew briefing.